| Re: Risk
Good discussion, and one very relevant to many of us here whether we realise it or not. Risk has been my profession for the last 7 years or so. I am a professional ecologist specializing in the management of threatened and endangered species. I write probability based models to assist agencies with the decisions they are obliged to make. This is a long prelude to a two simple points I wanted to raise:
1. Humans have time and again been documented as appallingly bad at assessing percieved risk.
2. Realise that the probability of a catastrophic event is insignificant compared with the consequence of that event when there is only a single trial. It's your life you're playing with.
Cheers
AB |